Gold slips as oil rises and Fed rate bets weigh

Renewed US-Iran hostilities pushed oil higher on Monday, while expectations of three Fed rate hikes this year pressured bullion.

Staff Writer

Article summary

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Gold slipped 0.5% on Monday as oil prices rose on the back of renewed US-Iran hostilities, while traders priced in three Federal Reserve rate hikes for the year. Spot gold fell to $4,067.99 per ounce, with silver also down and palladium lower.

Key points

  • Spot gold fell 0.5% to $4,067.99 per ounce on Monday
  • Traders see roughly 77% chance of a Fed rate hike in December
  • Iran launched drones and missiles at US sites in Kuwait and Bahrain

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Gold fell on Monday as rising oil prices and growing expectations of US interest rate increases combined to push the metal lower.

Spot gold dropped 0.5% to $4,067.99 per ounce by 00:45 GMT. August gold futures on US markets fell 0.4% to $4,081.20.

The pressure on gold came from two directions. Oil prices climbed after fresh exchanges of strikes between the US and Iran in the Middle East slowed energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz again, drawing risk appetite toward energy markets. At the same time, CME Group’s FedWatch tool showed traders pricing in three Federal Reserve rate increases this year, with roughly 77% odds on a hike in December. Higher rates tend to weigh on gold, which offers no yield.

The broader context involves a fragile ceasefire. Iran launched missiles and drones at US military sites in Kuwait and Bahrain early Sunday, shortly after President Donald Trump threatened to eliminate Iranian leadership if Tehran did not comply with a deal to end the war. Axios reported on Sunday that the two sides had since agreed to halt the latest round of hostilities in the Gulf and resume talks over the Hormuz dispute.

Other precious metals also moved. Spot silver fell 1.1% to $58.49 per ounce. Platinum rose 0.4% to $1,620.15, while palladium slipped 0.4% to $1,204.25.